{"id":183,"date":"2020-09-07T04:51:01","date_gmt":"2020-09-07T04:51:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/?page_id=183"},"modified":"2026-04-19T18:35:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-19T22:35:09","slug":"probability-based-levels","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/probability-based-levels\/","title":{"rendered":"Probability-Based Levels"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><body><\/p>\n<div class=\"idmm-page idmm-levels-page\">\n<section class=\"idmm-hero\">\n<p class=\"idmm-eyebrow\">Framework<\/p>\n<h1>Probability-Based Levels<\/h1>\n<p class=\"idmm-subtitle\">A structured method for defining intraday reference points relative to the session open.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"idmm-section\">\n<h2>Defining Levels Relative to the Open<\/h2>\n<p>The framework defines a series of levels based on distance from the session open.<\/p>\n<p>These levels are not arbitrary. They are derived from measurable movement and are designed to create a consistent reference structure for evaluating intraday behavior.<\/p>\n<p>Rather than interpreting price action after the fact, structure is established in advance.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"idmm-section\">\n<h2>A Consistent Reference for Measurement<\/h2>\n<p>Once defined, these levels allow price movement to be evaluated in a consistent way across sessions.<\/p>\n<p>This includes:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"idmm-list\">\n<li>how often a level is reached<\/li>\n<li>how price behaves after reaching that level<\/li>\n<li>whether movement continues or reverses<\/li>\n<li>how far price extends relative to the initial structure<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This transforms intraday analysis from visual interpretation into measurable behavior.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"idmm-section\">\n<h2>Observed Behavioral Tendencies<\/h2>\n<p>Historical analysis shows that price behavior changes once defined thresholds are reached.<\/p>\n<p>These changes may include:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"idmm-list\">\n<li>continuation beyond the initial level<\/li>\n<li>stabilization around the level<\/li>\n<li>reversal toward the open or opposing structure<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The objective is not to predict which outcome will occur in a given instance, but to study how these outcomes are distributed over time.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"idmm-section\">\n<h2>The Role of Reversal Conditions<\/h2>\n<p>One of the most important observations is the impact of intraday reversal conditions.<\/p>\n<p>When both sides of the structure are reached within the same session, behavior differs significantly from sessions where only one side is tested.<\/p>\n<p>This distinction provides a structured way to study:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"idmm-list\">\n<li>directional continuity<\/li>\n<li>failure of continuation<\/li>\n<li>interaction between opposing levels<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"idmm-section\">\n<h2>From Levels to Research<\/h2>\n<p>The purpose of these levels is not to act as signals or predefined trading decisions.<\/p>\n<p>They provide a framework for:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"idmm-list\">\n<li>defining intraday structure<\/li>\n<li>measuring behavior relative to that structure<\/li>\n<li>evaluating outcomes consistently across time<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This allows patterns and tendencies to be studied with clarity, rather than inferred through subjective interpretation.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"idmm-section\">\n<h2>Where This Fits in the Framework<\/h2>\n<p>Probability-Based Levels serve as the foundation for:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"idmm-list\">\n<li>extended levels<\/li>\n<li>fast move identification<\/li>\n<li>pattern definition<\/li>\n<li>outcome-based research<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>They are the starting point for defining structure, not the end point of analysis.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"idmm-cta\">\n<h3>Continue Exploring<\/h3>\n<div class=\"idmm-cta-row\">\n    <a class=\"idmm-btn idmm-btn-primary\" href=\"\/analytics\/framework\/extended-levels\/\">Explore Extended Levels<\/a><br \/>\n    <a class=\"idmm-btn idmm-btn-secondary\" href=\"\/analytics\/framework\/\">Return to Framework<\/a><br \/>\n    <a class=\"idmm-btn idmm-btn-secondary\" href=\"\/analytics\/research\/\">View Research<\/a>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div>\n<p><\/body><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Framework Probability-Based Levels A structured method for defining intraday reference points relative to the session open. Defining Levels Relative to the Open The framework defines a series of levels based on distance&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"template-page-builder-no-sidebar.php","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-183","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/183","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=183"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/183\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8833,"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/183\/revisions\/8833"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=183"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}