{"id":8744,"date":"2026-04-01T16:41:02","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T20:41:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/?p=8744"},"modified":"2026-04-07T12:18:50","modified_gmt":"2026-04-07T16:18:50","slug":"quarterly-market-research-brief-1-2026-3-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/2026\/04\/01\/quarterly-market-research-brief-1-2026-3-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Quarterly Market Research Brief – 1\/2026-3\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Quarterly Market Research Brief<\/h1>\n

Quarter of 2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31<\/h2>\n

Video Overview<\/h2>\n

Written report available now. Video overview to follow.<\/p>\n

This report summarizes measurable market behavior using the Intra-Day Momentum Method, focusing on level occurrence, observed outcome distribution, and reversal behavior.<\/p>\n

The Intra-Day Momentum Method\u2122 is the result of over a decade of research into intraday price behavior.
\nThe data presented here represents a structured quarterly snapshot using a consistent methodology.<\/p>\n

\n

Occurrence Overview<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Metric<\/th>\nSPY<\/th>\nQQQ<\/th>\nDIA<\/th>\nCombined<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
Total Days<\/td>\n61<\/td>\n61<\/td>\n61<\/td>\n183<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Occurrence Days<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n103<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Occurrence Rate<\/td>\n54%<\/td>\n54%<\/td>\n61%<\/td>\n56%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Reversal Count<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Reversal % of Occurrence Days<\/td>\n6%<\/td>\n9%<\/td>\n14%<\/td>\n10%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n

Core Outcome Table<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Metric<\/th>\nSPY<\/th>\nQQQ<\/th>\nDIA<\/th>\nCombined<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n
ML1 Count<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n54<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Close \u2265 ML1<\/td>\n11 (65%)<\/td>\n10 (53%)<\/td>\n10 (56%)<\/td>\n31 (57%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Close \u2265 Open<\/td>\n16 (94%)<\/td>\n16 (84%)<\/td>\n16 (89%)<\/td>\n48 (89%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Reversal % of ML1<\/td>\n12%<\/td>\n16%<\/td>\n28%<\/td>\n19%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
MS1 Count<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n24<\/td>\n59<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Close \u2264 Open<\/td>\n16 (89%)<\/td>\n15 (88%)<\/td>\n17 (71%)<\/td>\n48 (81%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Close \u2264 MS1<\/td>\n11 (61%)<\/td>\n14 (82%)<\/td>\n10 (42%)<\/td>\n35 (59%)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Reversal % of MS1<\/td>\n11%<\/td>\n18%<\/td>\n21%<\/td>\n17%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Reversal Count<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n
\n

\n

Once directional levels are reached, the data continues to support persistent directional behavior relative to the session open.
\n
\nWhen ML1 was reached, price closed above the open 89% of the time (combined)
\n
\nWhen MS1 was reached, price closed below the open 81% of the time (combined)
\n
\nThe probability of closing beyond the level itself (ML1\/MS1) is lower, indicating:
\n
\nDirectional bias is stronger than full continuation
\n
\nReversals remain relatively infrequent (9% of occurrence days), reinforcing the distinction between continuation conditions and reversal conditions.<\/p>\n

The significance of IDMM is not the level itself, but:<\/p>\n

The change in expected behavior once the level is reached<\/p>\n

\n

Supporting Data<\/strong>
\nSPY Detailed Data \u2192SPY<\/a><\/p>\n

QQQ Detailed Data \u2192QQQ<\/a><\/p>\n

DIA Detailed Data \u2192DIA<\/a><\/p>\n

\n

Data Disclaimer:<\/strong> All statistics and observations presented in this report are primarily derived from end-of-day (EOD) data and may be reviewed against intraday chart data for additional validation. Minor discrepancies may remain where intraday price movement differs from the underlying EOD source data.<\/p>\n

This report is provided for research and educational purposes only. The Intra-Day Momentum Method is a framework for studying measurable market behavior and does not provide trading recommendations or real-time signals.<\/p>\n

\n

Understanding This Report<\/h3>\n

Definitions and explanations of the data presented in this report:<\/p>\n

View Methodology & Definitions<\/a><\/p>\n

Research & Framework:<\/strong>
https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Quarterly Market Research Brief Quarter of 2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31 Video Overview Written report available now. Video overview to follow. This report summarizes measurable market behavior using the Intra-Day Momentum Method, focusing on…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"template-page-builder-no-sidebar.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[36,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8744","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-idmm-etfs-weekly-research","category-qat-analytics"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8744","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8744"}],"version-history":[{"count":11,"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8744\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8762,"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8744\/revisions\/8762"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8744"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8744"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.qatsystems.com\/analytics\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8744"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}