Weekly Market Research Brief
Week of 2026-03-15 to 2026-03-21
Video Overview
Written report available now. Video overview to follow.
This report summarizes measurable market behavior using the Intra-Day Momentum Method, focusing on valid level occurrences, structural behavior, and early-session Fast Move activity.
IDMM Weekly Summary (SPY / QQQ / DIA)
- ML1 Count: 2
- ML1 Success Rate: 0%
- ML1 Close Above Open Count: 2
- MS1 Count: 3
- MS1 Success Rate: 100%
- MS1 Close Below Open Count: 3
- Reversal Count: 0
Market Behavior Summary
We had 2 ML1 Levels reached during the week, one in the QQQ and one in the DIA. Neither were successful events. There were 3 MS1 Levels reached during the week and were all on Friday, in the SPY, QQQ, and DIA.
Event Context
Federal Reserve meeting occurred this week on Wednesday 3/18/2026. Increased volatility is typically associated with Fed meetings, this week, the intraday volatility for a Fed Interest rate decision day was less than expected.
QQQ — Weekly Summary
- ML1 Count: 1
- ML1 Success Rate: 0%
- ML1 Close Above Open Count: 1
- MS1 Count: 1
- MS1 Success Rate: 100%
- MS1 Close Below Open Count: 1
Detailed Data
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ML1 Count | 1 |
| ML1 Close Count | 0 |
| ML1 Success Rate | 0% |
| ML1 Close Above Open Count | 1 |
| MS1 Count | 1 |
| MS1 Close Count | 1 |
| MS1 Success Rate | 100% |
| MS1 Close Below Open Count | 1 |
| Total Count | 2 |
| Total Close Count | 1 |
| Total Accuracy | 50% |
Additional Conditions and Fast Move Activity
- Reversal Count: 0
- Narrow Range Days (NRD): 1
Fast Move Notes
Fast Move to the MS1 on Friday, 3/20/2026.
SPY — Weekly Summary
- ML1 Count: 0
- ML1 Success Rate: 0%
- ML1 Close Above Open Count: 0
- MS1 Count: 1
- MS1 Success Rate: 100%
- MS1 Close Below Open Count: 1
Detailed Data
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ML1 Count | 0 |
| ML1 Close Count | 0 |
| ML1 Success Rate | 0% |
| ML1 Close Above Open Count | 0 |
| MS1 Count | 1 |
| MS1 Close Count | 1 |
| MS1 Success Rate | 100% |
| MS1 Close Below Open Count | 1 |
| Total Count | 1 |
| Total Close Count | 1 |
| Total Accuracy | 100% |
Additional Conditions and Fast Move Activity
- Reversal Count: 0
- Narrow Range Days (NRD): 1 – 3/16/2026
Fast Move Notes
Fast Move to the MS1 on Friday, 3/20/2026
DIA — Weekly Summary
- ML1 Count: 1
- ML1 Success Rate: 0%
- ML1 Close Above Open Count: 1
- MS1 Count: 1
- MS1 Success Rate: 100%
- MS1 Close Below Open Count: 1
Detailed Data
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| ML1 Count | 1 |
| ML1 Close Count | 0 |
| ML1 Success Rate | 0% |
| ML1 Close Above Open Count | 1 |
| MS1 Count | 1 |
| MS1 Close Count | 1 |
| MS1 Success Rate | 100% |
| MS1 Close Below Open Count | 1 |
| Total Count | 2 |
| Total Close Count | 1 |
| Total Accuracy | 50% |
Additional Conditions and Fast Move Activity
- Reversal Count: 0
- Narrow Range Days (NRD): 0
Fast Move Notes
Not a 'Fast Move' by a 30 minute rule, but a move to the ML1 just after 9 AM, the ML1 was reached 3/17/2025.
Weekly Interpretation
Not a lot of IDMM Levels drawn during the week.
Data Disclaimer: All statistics and observations presented in this report are primarily derived from end-of-day (EOD) data and may be reviewed against intraday chart data for additional validation. Minor discrepancies may remain where intraday price movement differs from the underlying EOD source data.
This report is provided for research and educational purposes only. The Intra-Day Momentum Method is a framework for studying measurable market behavior and does not provide trading recommendations or real-time signals.