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Entry or Exit? Which is more important for your success?

Posted on May 10, 2023

WARNING: This might make you start to think!

Whenever I get a chance to talk to Finance students, current or future traders, I like to ask them one question. I propose that we investigate trading in a systematic approach. We have found an approach that generates two different trading signals. These signals are given at the exact same price. I will refer to them as Signal #1 and Signal #2. Sometimes, the signals confirm and sometimes the signals diverge.

Let’s suppose that when these two signals give us completely opposite trading signals (a divergence) you trade Signal #1, and I will trade Signal #2. That means that one of us is going to be Long and the other is going to be Short from the exact same price. Do you think it is possible that we both, over time, could come out with a profit?

The answer is almost always NO WAY. Absolutely not. However, what they have not considered is that in terms of just being profitable, not the degree of profitability, the Exit, particularly when you are wrong, may be the key to each of our successes.

To be continued…

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The Intra-Day Momentum Method

The Intra-Day Momentum Method is a more scientific approach to market analysis and risk management. It has been designed for intra-day trading. This method of analyzing market data has been applied to three market based ETFs from February 2022 to January 2023. In this book, Todd goes through the application of the model using eight different approaches. Each approach is analyzed and suggestions for increased improvements are offered.

During a brief career as a trader, Todd Hudson discovered that the analysis techniques used my most traders were inherently flawed. Oftentimes, the analysis resulted in guesswork. This often led to more questions than answers. After studying numerous methodologies and technical indicators, Todd decided to create a more scientific approach. This scientific approach would be based on risk management and historical patterns. This would allow traders to place trades using historical analysis of these patterns to determine future probable outcomes. The initial goal was to get a sense of the daily direction for intra-day trading.

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