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The Flaws of Traditional Analysis

Posted on January 17, 2025

The Flaws of Traditional Analysis
One of the flaws I noticed early on in trading was that people would use indicators, instead of prices, to get in and out of positions. If you think about it, it does not even sound like a particularly good idea. Because when you choose to use an indicator, you are allowing the indicators to control how much you make or how much you lose. This is not managing risk. An indicator is a derivative. Indicators are typically a derivative of price movement over a specified period of time. Usually, the user can control the inputs that are involved in the indicator’s calculation. Relying on an indicator sounds a little bit dangerous to me. Especially if your main objective is to control risk. From my very first experience in trading, I realized that one of the biggest problems with the approach of utilizing traditional technical analysis techniques for entry and exit was a lack of the ability to define risk at trade entry.

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The Intra-Day Momentum Method

The Intra-Day Momentum Method is a more scientific approach to market analysis and risk management. It has been designed for intra-day trading. This method of analyzing market data has been applied to three market based ETFs from February 2022 to January 2023. In this book, Todd goes through the application of the model using eight different approaches. Each approach is analyzed and suggestions for increased improvements are offered.

During a brief career as a trader, Todd Hudson discovered that the analysis techniques used my most traders were inherently flawed. Oftentimes, the analysis resulted in guesswork. This often led to more questions than answers. After studying numerous methodologies and technical indicators, Todd decided to create a more scientific approach. This scientific approach would be based on risk management and historical patterns. This would allow traders to place trades using historical analysis of these patterns to determine future probable outcomes. The initial goal was to get a sense of the daily direction for intra-day trading.

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