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Charles Dow: Four Principles of Price Behavior

Posted on March 27, 2025

There are four fundamental principles of price behavior that consistently apply across all time frames and markets, providing the foundation for traders to develop systematic approaches; these principles, originally highlighted by Charles Dow, form the basis for effective trading patterns and systems.

Principle One: A Trend Has a Higher Probability of Continuation than Reversal

Principle Two: Momentum Precedes Price

Principle Three: Trends End in a Climax

Principle Four: The Market Alternates between Range Expansion and Range Contraction

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The Intra-Day Momentum Method

The Intra-Day Momentum Method is a more scientific approach to market analysis and risk management. It has been designed for intra-day trading. This method of analyzing market data has been applied to three market based ETFs from February 2022 to January 2023. In this book, Todd goes through the application of the model using eight different approaches. Each approach is analyzed and suggestions for increased improvements are offered.

During a brief career as a trader, Todd Hudson discovered that the analysis techniques used my most traders were inherently flawed. Oftentimes, the analysis resulted in guesswork. This often led to more questions than answers. After studying numerous methodologies and technical indicators, Todd decided to create a more scientific approach. This scientific approach would be based on risk management and historical patterns. This would allow traders to place trades using historical analysis of these patterns to determine future probable outcomes. The initial goal was to get a sense of the daily direction for intra-day trading.

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